“In the course of my duties as the incoming national security advisor, I held numerous phone calls with foreign counterparts, ministers, and ambassadors. (…) Unfortunately, because of the fast pace of events, I inadvertently briefed the vice president-elect and others with incomplete information regarding my phone calls with the Russian ambassador. I have sincerely apologized to the president and the vice president, and they have accepted my apology.”
Former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn
February 13 2017 — National Security Adviser Mike Flynn has resigned. Could Flynn be indicted? And if he was convicted of Treason, could Trump be impeached? Follow us on Twitter: @Intel_Today
RELATED POST: Robert Mueller — Enough Evidence to Charge Michael Flynn
UPDATE (February 13 2019) — Time really flies when you are having fun. On this day, two years ago, Flynn was forced out as national security adviser. What really happened?
In January 2017, two FBI agents interviewed the then US National Security Advisor Michael Flynn. On December 1 2017, Flynn pleaded guilty to making false statements to the FBI during that interview.
On December 17 2018, at the request of Judge Emmet Sullivan, the Special Counsel’s Office released a redacted version of their report — known as a FBI 302 — regarding this event. I strongly believe that the word PUTIN was redacted in a key paragraph of that document.
According to one of the charges against him, Flynn lied when he stated that, on December 22 2016, he did not ask Russian ambassador Kislyak either to delay the vote on UN Resolution 2334 or to defeat the pending United Nations Security Council Resolution.
On that day (Dec. 22 2017), the United Nations Security Council was about to vote on whether to condemn Israel’s building of settlements.
At the time, the Obama administration was preparing to allow a Security Council vote on the matter.
The vote was NOT delayed and UN Resolution 2334 passed 14-0 on December 23 2016, with the United States abstaining.
Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigators learned through witnesses and documents that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel had asked the Trump transition team — via Jared Kushner — to lobby other countries to help Israel.
Towards An Impeachment?
With a new Congress in office and the Mueller inquiry closing in, talks of impeachment are in the air. Donald Trump’s days as POTUS could be numbered. Are they?
A Wisdom-of-the-Crowds platform (PredictIt) allows people to bet on the following issue:
“Do you believe that the U.S. House of Representatives will approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Trump? Please, understand that the question is not about trial or conviction by the U.S. Senate and removal from office.”
Currently the shares are traded at 44c [corresponding to an implied probability of 44%], a drop of nearly 10 points since January 17 2019.
RELATED POST: Political Intelligence — The End of Donald Trump? [Poll]
END of UPDATE
February 13 2017 — National Security Adviser Mike Flynn has resigned. What do we know? What happens next?
President Donald Trump knew weeks ago there were problems with Michael Flynn’s Russia phone calls, a White House spokesman has said.
The president had been “reviewing and evaluating this issue on a daily basis”, Press Secretary Sean Spicer said at a news conference.
Mr Trump had previously said he was unaware of the reports about Mr Flynn.
But he ultimately asked for Mr Flynn’s resignation based on a “trust issue” and not a legal one, Mr Spicer added.
Republicans have joined congressional calls for an investigation into Mr Flynn’s contacts with Russia.
A Foretold Crisis
The Trump’s Administration deserves some credit. In less than 24 days, these folks have delivered a full-blown scandal and a high-level resignation. We had seen this one coming…
“From the day he was announced as Mr Trump’s national security adviser, there were concerns about Michael Flynn’s questionable contacts with Russia both before and after November’s election,” the BBC writes today.
Actually, Intel Today told you so BEFORE November 17 2016 when CNN reported that Trump intended to pick Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn to be his National Security Advisor. While reviewing the possible candidates for the CIA top job, I wrote:
SERIOUS ISSUES — Flynn forced out of the DIA after clashing with superiors over his allegedly chaotic management style
He has potentially problematic connections to foreign governments. (He accepted money for appearing at a lavish gala with Putin in Moscow last year. His consulting firm has financial ties to Turkey… which perhaps explains why he said that he would extradite Fethullah Gullen…)
Support for Flynn has waned as it has become evident that “he has some confirmation-type problems.”
RELATED POST: Who Could Be Trump’s CIA Director? — Last Man Standing?
Flynn is actually being investigated by the army for accepting money in late 2015 for a speaking engagement in Moscow (See picture) which could have breached military rules.
Why the Resignation?
Michael Flynn has resigned over allegations he discussed US sanctions with the Russian ambassador, Sergei Kislyak, before Donald Trump took office.
Mr Flynn is said to have misled officials about his call with Russia’s ambassador before his own appointment. [This one is critical. Did he really ‘misled’ the Vice-President and the President. Considering the DOJ warning, things don’t add up at this point…]
Is it Illegal?
Yes. It is illegal for private citizens to conduct US diplomacy. Thus, depending on the exact content of the discussion with the Russian ambassador, Michael Flynn could be indicted — at least — under the “LOGAN ACT”.
The Logan Act (1 Stat. 613, 18 U.S.C. § 953, enacted January 30, 1799) is a United States federal law that details the fine and/or imprisonment of unauthorized citizens who negotiate with foreign governments having a dispute with the United States.
It was intended to prevent the undermining of the government’s position. The Act was passed following George Logan’s unauthorized negotiations with France in 1798, and was signed into law by President John Adams on January 30, 1799. The Act was last amended in 1994, and violation of the Logan Act is a felony.
To date, only one person has ever been indicted for violating the act’s provisions. However, no person has ever been prosecuted for alleged violations of the act. [Wikipedia]
Trump’s Administration was warned
The White House had been warned about the contacts last month and was told Mr Flynn may be vulnerable to Russian blackmail. There is no doubt that whatever happened in between the warning and today will be the object of serious investigations.
Depending on the exact content of the discussion Flynn had with the Russian ambassador as well as the information provided by the Justice department, it may become necessary to investigate the White House’s very slow response to the facts. And that could lead to another thing. It is called an impeachment. Flynn may be ‘gone’. But for Trump, the nightmare is just beginning.
PS/ How Michael Flynn could not have known that his phone conversations with a Russian Diplomat would be tapped is simply beyond belief! So much for Trump surrounding himself with the brightest people in the world…
As part of his plea bargain, Michael Flynn has signed a “statement of the offence” that includes a timeline of the last week of December 2016. The dates of these statements are written in bold.
2013 — As DIA chief, Flynn visited the GRU headquarters in Moscow. He was the first US officer ever allowed inside its headquarters. A second GRU visit was planned but denied. During this trip, he meets Russian diplomat Sergey Ivanovich Kislyak for the first time.
February 2014 — Flynn meets Svetlana Lokhova at Cambridge (CIS)
April 2014 — Flynn ‘quits’ the Defense Intelligence Agency
October 8 2014 — a letter to Flynn from the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) Office of General Counsel explicitly warns Flynn, as he entered retirement, that he was prohibited by the Constitution from receiving payments from foreign sources without advance permission.
Summer 2015 –Flynn meets Trump for the first time after being invited to do so by his team
May 2016 — Flynn joins NSO Group as an “adviser”
July 15 2016 — Attempted coup in Turkey. Ankara claims Gulen, who has lived in self-imposed exile in the US since 1999, masterminded the failed putsch. Extradition requested. Turkey Coup: “CIA Plotters’ Meeting” in Büyükada
August 9 2016 — Flynn Intel Group entered into a contract with Inovo, a consulting firm based in the Netherlands. The work focused on Mr. Fethullah Gulen and charter schools in the United States that are associated with Gulen.
August 15 2016 — The Flynn – Inovo contract goes into effect.
August 15 2016 — Presidential Candidate donald Trump tweets: “I’ve got fresh evidence 13 CIA senior officers helped in Turkey Failed Coup. I will divulge the names in the coming days.” Trump and the Attempted Coup in Turkey : “13 CIA senior officers helped in Failed Coup”
August 24 2016 — U.S. Vice President Joe Biden visited Turkey. Biden made it clear that an extradition request is a legal matter, not one for the POTUS to decide.
September 9 2016 — Inovo BV Payments to Flynn Intel Group $200k
September 19 2016 — Flynn met with senior representatives of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s government at the Essex House hotel in New York City. Extradition of Gulen discussed. The Turkish officials are Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu and Energy Minister Berat Albayrak who is the son-in-law of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
October [x] 2016 — Flynn Intel officials presented some of their ‘anti-Gulen’ research to the House Homeland Security Committee.
October 10 2016 — Inovo BV Payments to Flynn Intel Group $185k
November 8 2016 — Suspicions about Flynn’s ties to the Turkish government were sparked by an op-ed he wrote in the Hill. Flynn calls Gulen ‘shady’ and endorses his extradition.
November 10 2016 — Mike Flynn calling for the extradition of Gulen
November 10, 2016 — Obama warned Trump about Flynn during their Oval Office meeting
November 15 2016 — Inovo BV Payments to Flynn Intel Group $145k
November 17 2016 — President-elect Trump intends to pick Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn to be his National Security Advisor
November 18 2016 — Flynn becomes Trump’s NSA
Mid-December — Meeting between Mr Flynn and Turkish officials in New York. Flynn discussed having Mr Gulen transported on a private jet to the Turkish prison island of Imrali.
December 17 2016 — Three experts — including former MI6 chief Sir Richard Dearlove — unexpectedly resigned from their positions at the Cambridge Intelligence Seminar (CIS), amid concerns that the Kremlin is behind a newly-established intelligence journal, which provides funding for CIS.
December 22 2016 — A “very senior” Trump transition team official tells Michael Flynn to contact foreign governments including Russia to discuss a pending UN Security Council vote on Israeli settlements.
December 22 & 23 — Mr Flynn urges Sergei Kislyak to vote against or delay the resolution; the next day Mr Kislyak says Russia would not vote against such a resolution
December 23 2016 — 14 Delegations in favour of UN Resolution 2334 as United States abstains.
December 28 2016 — Flynn sends text message to Russia Amb. Kislyak to wish him a Merry Christmas.
December 28 2016 — Russia Amb. Kislyak replies asking if they can talk on the phone?
December 28 2016 — Mr Kislyak contacts Mr Flynn – on the day President Obama announces sanctions against Russia for interfering in the presidential election.
December 29 2016 — US expels Russian diplomats over cyber attack allegations. The Obama administration said the GRU is responsible for the DNC hack.
December 29 2016 — Flynn and Russia Amb. Kislyak exchange (5?) phone calls. US sanctions are discussed.
December 29 2016 —Mr Flynn contacts “a senior official” in the Trump transition team at Mar-a-Lago in Florida to discuss a response. He “immediately” calls the ambassador back, urging Russia not to escalate the situation, then gets back in touch with the Trump transition official
December 30 2016 — Putin announced that he would not retaliate. Trump praised Putin for the decision, writing in a Twitter post, “Great move on delay (by V.Putin). I always knew he was very smart!”
December 30 2016 — Russian President Vladimir Putin announces no immediate retaliation will take place
December 31 2016 — Mr Kislyak calls Mr Flynn to inform him of Russia’s position, and Mr Flynn contacts the Trump transition team.
January 5 2017 — “Effective immediately, Ambassador Woolsey is no longer a Senior Advisor to President-Elect Trump or the Transition.”Woolsey said on CNN that he did not want to “fly under false colors” any longer.
January 15 2017 — Vice President-elect Mike Pence appears on CBS News’ “Face the Nation” and defends Flynn’s conversations, saying Flynn did not discuss sanctions with Kislyak during phone calls in December.
January 24 2017 — Mike Flynn interviewed by the FBI (At the White House; No lawyer)
January 24 2017 —Sally Yates, the former acting attorney general, again raised the issue with FBI Comey, who now backed away from his opposition to informing the White House.
January 26 2017 — Yates and a senior career national security official spoke to McGahn, the White House counsel. Yates tells the White House counsel that Flynn is vulnerable to blackmail by Russian intelligence. Yates considered Flynn’s comments in the intercepted call with Russia Amb. Kislyak to be “highly significant” and “potentially illegal”
January 27 2017 — Yates and McGahn second meeting. McGahn wants to know 4 Things. Why the DOJ cares? Is there a criminal case? Could the White House decision be interpreted as interference? What and where is the evidence against Flynn?
January 27 2017 — Trump invites Comey for dinner. Trump requests “pledge of loyalty”.
January 30 2017 — Sally Yates dismissed by President Trump
February 13 2017 — (Monday night) National Security Adviser Mike Flynn resigns
February 14 2017 — Trump asks Comey to drop the investigation on Flynn
March 8 2017 — Flynn Intel Group Inc filed retroactive documents with the Department of Justice to register as a foreign agent.
March 24 2017 — WSJ breaks the news of the September 19 meeting (Woolsey). The meeting was however mentioned in the documents filed on March 8 2017.
March 25 2017 — Julliette Kayyem (CNN) suggests Flynn made a deal with the FBI
May 9 2017 — CNN reported that a grand jury had begun issuing subpoenas to associates of Michael Flynn
May 9 2017 — Comey is dismissed by President Trump
May 10 2017 —The Senate Intelligence Committee issued a subpoena to Mike Flynn
May 16 2017 — Memos reveal Trump asked FBI Comey to drop Flynn investigation
May 17 2017 — Robert Mueller appointed special Prosecutor
October 30 2017 — Special counsel Robert Mueller announced the indictments of former Trump campaign officials Paul Manafort and Rick Gates
October 30 2017 — Mueller’s office released a “statement of offense” outlining one major instance of when the Trump campaign tried to collude with Russia. George Papadopoulos — a foreign policy adviser for the Trump campaign — pleaded guilty to making false statements to FBI agents investigating the Trump-Russia scandal.
November 8 2017 — The Bureau of Prisons inmate locator shows that Zarrab was released Nov. 8, three days after NBC News reported that the special counsel had enough evidence to bring charges against Flynn.
December 1 2017 — Flynn pleads guilty to making a false statement to the FBI in January 2017.
UPDATE (February 13 2018) — Time really flies when you are having fun. On this day, one year ago, Flynn was forced out as national security adviser. What really happened?
We still do not know. But one thing is absolutely certain. The official narrative is pure non sense. I have just added a timeline at the end of this post.
In December 2017, General Michael Flynn, President Donald Trump’s ex-national security adviser, has pleaded guilty to making false statements to the FBI in January 2017.
The White House is now branding Flynn “a lying liar who lies” but there is at least one good reason to believe that Flynn was indeed acting under the order of a senior member of Trump transition team.
In a deal with prosecutors, Flynn is rumoured to have offered testimony about conversations inside the Trump transition team regarding the contacts with Russian operatives — which is the focus of a major investigation by Mueller. [REUTERS]
According to a confidant, Flynn is prepared to testify that — before taking office — President Donald Trump had directed him to make contact with Russians. [ABC News]
What Michael Flynn’s communication with Russia means for national security
President Trump’s national security adviser, Michael Flynn, has come under fire for pre-inauguration conversations he had with Russia’s ambassador to the U.S. Judy Woodruff speaks with The New York Times’ David Sanger and Leon Panetta, former director of the CIA, about Flynn’s actions and what the controversy suggests about the early weeks of the Trump administration.
President Donald Trump’s National Security Adviser Michael Flynn Resigns | The 11th Hour |
After reports surfaced calling into question what National Security Adviser Michael Flynn may have said to Russia’s ambassador about sanctions, he resigned just three weeks into the job.
One Year Ago — Mike Flynn has resigned. Could an indictment lead to an impeachment?
Two Years Ago — General Mike Flynn Has Resigned. Could An Indictment Lead To An Impeachment?