“How do you remove the wrapping from a gift you’ve been given? How do you unpack the stories that are shared with you in order to discover what’s contained within — what most people refer to as the ‘moral’ or the ‘message’? There are many ways to do this. There is no one, ‘right’ way.”
The Art of Unpacking Stories — Mitch Ditkoff
June 29 2021 — The time has come to unpack the mysteries. Four years ago, I coined the expression “Havana Syndrome” which implied a link between the (then) recent Havana attacks and the old story of the Microwave Syndrome in Moscow. Considering the known facts, it seemed plausible that the ‘diplomats’ posted in Havana were the victims of a spying operation using microwaves. This hypothesis was ridiculed at the time but today, it is regarded as the most likely theory by the US academy of Science and the Intelligence Community. In this post, I will address two difficulties that have never been discussed during the last four years. The plausible answers to these puzzles appear to point to a well-defined, and highly plausible scenario. If correct, this explanation has far reaching consequences. Follow us on twitter: @Intel_Today
RELATED POST: HAVANA SYNDROME — International Legal Implications
RELATED POST: Havana Syndrome — What Are the Frequencies Used by US Intel for Microwave Spying? [2019]
RELATED POST: Three Years Ago — US Spies & the Havana Syndrome
RELATED POST: One Year Ago — Havana Syndrome : Pesticide may have caused diplomats’ illness. Really? [Comments from Dr James Giordano]
RELATED POST: Two Years Ago — Havana Syndrome & Microwave Weapons: Q&A with Professor James Lin
RELATED POST: Havana Syndrome — A CIA Sonic Counter-Attack in Cuba? [Did the Agency write the ‘Patria y Vida’ Reggaeton Hit?]
“We are living in times of uncertainty, where truth may be unknowable. (…) Darin Morgan, a writer on “The X-Files,” calls this the ‘Post Conspiracy Era.’ PoCo — the industrialization of conspiracy theories. Rigorous science and scientists are castigated and vilified. Rigorous journalism is decried as fake news.”
Chris Carter [X-Files] — New York Times (June 25 2021)
There are many ways to solve a mystery… Nevertheless, as Mitch Ditkoff argues, there are some time-tested principles you may want to consider before responding to the stories you are told.
The readers of this blog already know that my favorite tool is an clear and accurate TIMELINE.
Two categories of ‘dangerous idiots’ have skewed the “Havana Syndrome” debate because clueless MSM journalists are so willing to quote them.
The first argues that “it” — a concept they have not yet defined — has been going on for a long time, all the way back to the 1960s!
How would you react if someone tells you that Caligula shot himself in the head with a Smith & Wesson?
This is simply nonsense. It is obviously false because the technology did not exist at the time. The motive may have existed but the means and opportunity were lacking.
The second dismissed the Havana Syndrome as a conspiracy theory. Their main argument is that the technology did not exist in the past… So what?
Don’t they know that … “It always seems impossible until it is done.” [Nelson Mandela]
“The plot of “The X-Files” was built on a conspiracy theory: The government is lying to you about the existence of U.F.O.s and extraterrestrials. Do I believe the government lies to us? Absolutely. I’m a child of Watergate. Do I believe in conspiracies? Certainly. I believe, for example, that someone is targeting C.I.A. agents and White House officials with microwave radiation, the so-called Havana syndrome, and your government denied it.”
Chris Carter [X-Files] — New York Times (June 25 2021)
On October 3 2017, I coined the expression “Havana Syndrome”. [Here is the tweet]
As soon as I heard about this rather unusual saga, I immediately made a connection between the Havana attacks and the old story of the Microwave Syndrome, thus the conflation Havana Syndrome.
So where do I stand today? Let me first remind you what were the known facts as well as my hypothesis and my assumptions when I coined the expression Havana Syndrome.
Fact I : Microwave Auditory Effect
Doctor Hoffer and his collaborators have examined a group of 35 embassy-related individuals, among whom 25 reported auditory phenomena.
[Hoffer ME, Levin BE, Snapp H. Acute findings in an acquired neurosensory dysfunction. Laryngoscope Investig Otolaryngol. (2019) 4:124–31. doi: 10.1002/lio2.231]
The Microwave Auditory Effect is widely recognized as “one of the most interesting and
significant biological phenomena from microwave exposure.” [James C. Lin, To be published in IEEE]
Since its discovery in 1947, this effect, also known as the microwave hearing effect or the Frey effect, has been extensively studied.
A single microwave pulse impinging on the head may be perceived as an acoustic zip, click, or knocking sound. Under certain circumstances, a train of microwave pulses may be sensed as buzz, chirp, or tune by humans.
The sound described by the Havana diplomats corresponds exactly to what is expected if it had been caused by the Microwave Auditory Effect.
“Sometimes it was the sudden onset of a loud noise leading to intense pain, while others felt pressure on the head leading to dizziness and vertigo. The sensations seemed to come from a particular direction in a specific location. This became known as Havana syndrome.”
Gordon Corera –BBC News
Fact II : Microwave Spying
Once upon a time, the Russians relied for many years on a technology unknown to the Americans to spy on the US ambassador in Moscow. The device — known as “The thing” — was the brainchild of an extraordinary genius: Leon Theremin.
This technology was totally unknown in the United States and Europe. With some help from British scientists, the US Intelligence Community eventually understood how it worked. And later, with the help of a Dutch company, the CIA fabricated their own version of this device.
I have long suspected that “Microwave Spying” was still a tool on the shelf of the modern spies. In the aftermath of Snowden’s revelations, Der Spiegel published a catalogue of surveillance technologies used by the NSA and CIA to eavesdrop on foreign spies and diplomats.
RELATED POST: Havana Syndrome — What Are the Frequencies Used by US Intel for Microwave Spying? [2019]
And indeed, these documents show that the U.S. Intelligence is using products — with names like LOUDAUTO and ANGRYNEIGHBOR — against foreign embassies.
Those devices are generally considered as direct successors of Leon Theremin’s brilliant invention. The old devices were in used until the end of the 1990s when it was decided to take advantage of new technologies. Same idea, better design…
“Theremin did some of his best scientific work while imprisoned by one of the most repressive regimes of the 20th century. This brilliant scientist crossed path with the CIA more than once — to our detriment.”
Benjamin R. Fisher — CIA History staff
Fact III — A preference for spooks
According to several US reports quoting Intelligence officials, most US diplomats affected by this mysterious illness were in truth intelligence officers.
This information was in fact one of the reasons I dismissed the idea that fumigation against mosquitoes may have caused the mysterious illness.
RELATED POST: One Year Ago — Havana Syndrome : Pesticide may have caused diplomats’ illness. Really? [Comments from Dr James Giordano]
How could neurotoxins differentiate between real diplomats and spooks?
“Do the results known to me fully support that the signs / symptoms occurring in US embassy personnel were solely due to cholinergic neurotoxicity? No, not completely.”
James Giordano PhD — Departments of Neurology and Biochemistry Georgetown University — Email to Intel Today (September 20 2019)
Intel Today — Hypothesis and Assumptions
Hypothesis — Considering the known facts, it seems plausible that the ‘diplomats’ posted in Havana were the victims of a spying operation using microwaves.
This is the reason why I coined the expression “Havana Syndrome” which implies a link between the recent Havana attacks and the old story of the Microwave Syndrome.
Assumptions — Some people have suggested that the brain lesions were caused by device intended to inflict injury. This explanation never made sense to me.
In my opinion, inflicting injury was not the purpose of this operation but the lesions are nonetheless very real.
According to recent stories published by various US media, the American Intelligence Community has come to the same conclusion.
Other Theories — Psychologist Robert Bartholomew claims that the symptoms are not externally induced, but the results of a functional or psychogenic disorder.
I have long argued that the Timeline does not support the theory of an “epidemic hysteria”.
Edward Shorter is the Jason A Hannah Professor of the History of Medicine as well as a Professor of Psychiatry at the University of Toronto.
Professor Shorter has researched the methods allowing to differentiate psychogenic from somatogenic complaints and he categorically rejects the mass hysteria explanation.
“It is a disservice to the men and women of the United States and Canadian diplomatic services to suggest they are suffering from a ‘mass psychogenic illness’ arising from their tenure in Havana.”
Professor Edward Shorter — University of Toronto
The National Academy of Science Report
In the spring 2019, the US State Department requested the National Academy of Sciences to undertake a full review of the Havana Syndrome. The committee submitted its report to the State Department in early August 2020..
The long-awaited report by the National Academies of Sciences concluded that the mysterious neurological symptoms experienced by American diplomats in Cuba were caused by pulsed microwave energy.
“Overall, directed pulsed RF energy … appears to be the most plausible mechanism in explaining these cases among those that the committee considered.”
The report recommends that the State Department establish a response mechanism for similar incidents that allows new cases to be studied more quickly and effectively.
“The committee felt that many of the distinctive and acute signs, symptoms and observations reported by (government) employees are consistent with the effects of directed, pulsed radio frequency (RF) energy.”
An Assessment of Illness in U.S. Government Employees and Their Families at Overseas Embassies — National Academies of Sciences
Lessons from CIA psychologist Richards J. Heuer : “Never fall in love with your ideas!“
Obviously, the Intel Today Hypothesis is now taken very seriously by the top experts and it is regarded by the US I. C. as the most likely explanation of the Havana Syndrome.
It seems very likely that the ‘diplomats’ posted in Havana were the victims of a spying operation using microwaves.
In April 2021, , during an interview on CNN (Spanish), Juan Gonzalez — Special Assistant to POTUS & NSC Senior Director for Western Hemisphere — admitted that US diplomats in Havana were subjected to microwave attacks. [Joe Biden no es Barack Obama en la política hacia Cuba]
“Tenemos que asegurarnos de que nuestro personal en la embajada estadounidense en La Habana estén seguros y no corran peligro de un ataque de microondas o no sé cómo lo están llamando hoy.”.
[“We have to make sure that our staff at the US embassy in Havana are safe and not in danger of a microwave attack or I don’t know what they are calling it today.”]
This is the first time ever that a high level US official confirmed that us diplomats in Havana have indeed suffered microwave attacks..
And now, what do we do? I am of course delighted that my hypothesis — and the name I coined for it — has been widely accepted.
But the readers familiar with this blog know that this grumpy old man is never happy and always suspicious of everything…
Accurate intelligence judgments do not solely rely on the abundance and accuracy of the information. Indeed it has long been known that rigorous analysis of the information is at least as important as the gathered material in order to reach accurate intelligence estimates.
In the 1960’s, CIA psychologists Dr Richards J. Heuer demonstrated that analysts often ignore relevant information — because it does not fit with their views — and thus easily become over-confident.
Let us avoid this pitfall and let us pay attention to a couple of mysteries which we must not ignore if we want to get to the truth!
“Do You Really Need More Information? The US Intelligence Community invests heavily in improved intelligence collection systems while managers of analysis lament the comparatively small sums devoted to enhancing analytical resources, improving analytical methods, or gaining better understanding of the cognitive processes involved in making analytical judgments.”
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis — Richards J. Heuer
Puzzle I : Is the CIA hiding some piece of the mystery?
A formerly classified internal State Department review obtained by the National Security Archive reveals that the CIA closed its station in Havana before the diplomats were pulled out.
The Accountability Review Board [ARB] report provides the first official confirmation that the CIA closed down its Havana station and pulled its operatives out of Cuba in September 2017.
A September 13, 2017, entry in a chronology of U.S. government actions states: “CIA informs [Acting Assistant Secretary Francisco] Palmieri of its decision to withdraw personnel from Havana for the foreseeable future.” Secretary Tillerson ordered the departure of all non-emergency personal on September 29 2017.
The decision appeared to be precipitated by two more U.S. intelligence officers falling ill on August 22 2017, while staying at the Hotel Nacional in Havana, reinforcing suspicions at the CIA that their agents were being targeted.
“In August 2017, two TDY [temporary duty travel] personnel experienced medical injury from an incident at a Havana hotel.”
The ARB criticized the CIA for failing to share information about the health-related experiences of its agents in Havana in late 2016 and early 2017, delaying the State Department’s ability to rapidly react.
“Both at [Havana] Post and in Washington, response to the incidents was characterized by excessive secrecy that contributed to a delayed response,” the report noted in its findings on communication and information sharing.
The Board forcefully recommended that:
“The Secretary of State should advise employees, and his counterparts at other agencies represented at missions overseas, that he expects complete transparency and prompt notification regarding any episode that results in harm or increased danger for USG employees.”
Even within the U.S. government, the agency had been reluctant to reveal which officers had been afflicted. The DIA was so frustrated that they initiated their own investigation.
The FBI investigators quickly found out that “The Cubans are being more open about this investigation with the F.B.I. than the C.I.A. is.”
Even more puzzling… CIA Director Gina Haspel personally dismissed the idea that American — and Canadian — embassy staff in Cuba may have suffered from microwave attacks. For God sake, Haspel is not even a scientist! What is her problem?
“Haspel ‘completely dismissed’ Russia House analysts who brought her intelligence showing a correlation between Russia and the curious phenomenon of diplomats experiencing brain trauma, according to one current U.S. official with knowledge of the episode.” Politico
Puzzle II : Why so much RF power?
Dr. Swanson et al. examined 24 US Cuban embassy personnel exposed to an unknown directed energy source. They found that 21 of those examined had clinical findings similar to mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI).
[Swanson RL, Hampton S, Green-McKenzie J, Diaz-Arrastia R, Grady MS, Verma R, et al. Neurological manifestations among US government personnel reporting directional audible and sensory phenomena in Havana, Cuba. JAMA. (2018) 319:1125–33. doi: 10.1001/jama.2018.1742]
As i pointed above, Doctor Hoffer and his collaborators have examined a group of 35 embassy-related individuals, among whom 25 reported auditory phenomena.
The threshold of RF power density required to activate the Frey effect is well documented.
Technically, there is no need for such high power to conduct a microwave spying attack.
In fact, it seems stupid as the Microwave Auditory Effect provides a clue that such attack is going on.
Let us be clear, if it was not for that weird noise, no one would be speaking about the Havana Syndrome.
But surely, the culprits are not idiots. They know full well what they are doing. How do we solve this contradiction?
“It is reasonable to conclude that the threshold power densities of 2.1 to 40 kW/m2 or 14 kW/m2 as a median threshold peak power density for induction of microwave auditory effect in the near field of 1250- to 3000-MHz microwaves with pulse widths between 10 and 30 micro-second. In other words, the 14 kW/m2 per pulse peak power density generates a barely audible sound level of 0 dB at the cochlea. Generating sound at 60 dB, or the audible level for normal conversation, requires 1000-fold higher power density per pulse.” — Pr James Lin (2021)
At long last… A plausible scenario
Bio-compatible microchip implants that utilize RFID technology are being routinely implanted in humans.
In the United States, the Food and Drug Administration approved the use of RFID chips in humans in 2004.
Open Source Intelligence reveals that the U.S. Intelligence Community is very interested in the RFID technology in general, and also in microchip implants.
This is hardly surprising as the technology offers a multitude of interesting possibilities for the spooks.
Of course, any electronic device can be hacked and this one is no exception. In fact, it has already been demonstrated…
On July 22, 2006, Reuters reported that two hackers, Newitz and Westhues, at a conference in New York City demonstrated that they could clone the RFID signal from a human implanted RFID chip, indicating that the device was not as secure as was previously claimed.
There is however a problem. A medical doctor can scan the device — and download for instance the medical history of his patient — while holding a scanner a few inches away from the device.
However, because of the small size of the implant, it would require a lot of RF power to hack the device from 50 yards away, such as for instance from a van stationed in the street.
Could it be that the CIA decided to use implants for some of their agents and officers?
If it were the case, there is no doubt that some would try to hack them and they would have to raise the power level above the threshold of the Frey effect.
And of course, the CIA would have a very good reason to hide this information…
By the way, last night, a comment from Sir Richard Dearlove — Former MI6 Boss — caught my attention.
“I used to journey the world extensively in several identities. I had a cabinet with packaged identities (…) properly supported with financial institution accounts, bank cards, all the pieces you wanted. But you can’t really do that anymore because of biotech. Espionage services have been forced in a different direction.” — (June 28 2021)
In my wildest dreams, I never expected that Chris Carter — the director of the X-Files — would one day mention a theory I had suggested. I am delighted that he believes the Havana Syndrome is real. I hope he will read this post and I dream he could make a new episode.
Never forget. Truth is stranger than Fiction. And it is easy to understand why. “Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn’t.” [Mark Twain]
In less humorous words, smart people do dumb things. And then, they suffer a blowback….
Perhaps some readers will find this explanation quite crazy. As physicists have learned full well, that is not an issue. Instead ask yourself if our theory is crazy enough to be true?
For now, I believe that Leon Theremin’s ghost has — once again — crossed path with the CIA… Once again at their detriment. To a crafty man, a crafty and a half…
Cover your ass, abbreviated CYA, is activity done by an individual to protect themselves from possible subsequent criticism, legal penalties, or other repercussions, usually in a work-related or bureaucratic context. In one sense, it may be rightful steps to protect oneself properly while in a difficult situation, such as what steps to take to protect oneself after being fired. But, in a different sense, according to The New York Times’ language expert William Safire, it describes “the bureaucratic technique of averting future accusations of policy error or wrongdoing by deflecting responsibility in advance”.
PS — In the introduction, I argued that the Havana Syndrome has nothing to do with the technology used in microwave spying operations during the 1960s. By now, you certainly understand why…. However, one should not conclude that there is nothing to be learned from these old stories. In my next post, I will explain how the culprits are probably hiding their attacks.
“Life must be lived forwards even if it can only be understood backwards.”
Soren Kierkegaard
REFERENCES
The Art of Unpacking Stories — Mitch Ditkoff
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Havana Syndrome — Chris Carter [X-Files] : “I Believe the Havana Syndrome and your government denied it.” [Intel Today : What was the motive of these attacks? Here is a plausible scenario.]
Intel Today 
The Cuban government acts in a Machiavellian way, liars, and do not doubt anything about that government since falsifying laboratory tests and giving false diagnoses controlled by the Cuban G2.
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